Power Ratings: NFL Week 16

At the beginning of the season when I began doing this ratings, I said it was important to adjust them from week to week to stay in lane with where things would likely end up at the end of the season. The concept of the ratings was very simple, if you know where the teams will finish, the value of a win can determine the point spread. With just two weeks to go in the season, the results have spoke for themselves, with top bets hitting over 64% after a 1-2 tally last week.

What is important to note now that the end of the season is here is  that it is quite easy to make an accurate prediction on where teams will finish, and bet accordingly with confidence. Of course, there are cases where motivation and starting players factor into the equation, but, for the most part throughout the league with so many teams fighting for final playoff spots, this week should allow everyone betting the ratings to dial the risk up a bit, and take bigger shots with some of these bets. Not to much surprise, there are more top bets this week than any other during the season.

I have two bets circled this week…
Both of these favourites will win by double digits
Get both bets and full write-ups here

To date, my power ratings are 102-94-5 (52%) ATS overall. Top Bets (advantages of 3.5 points or more) are 36-20-1 (64%) ATS. This week there are SEVEN teams with an advantage of more than a field goal. They are, NY Giants, Tennessee, New England, Oakland, Seattle, Los Angeles and Kansas City



Author: Adam Chernoff

Adam went from small town Saskatchewan to being an Oddsmaker in Medellin, Colombia. On his blog, adamchernoff.com you can read stories about his wild decade of gambling.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s